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Red122
512254.8
168344.3
21766.8
Blue148
173066.5
86264.5
35331.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167168100150200250122148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#29
66.82.3
55.252.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
66.51.0
69.968.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5122
#73
54.82.3
55.753.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
862
#4
64.51.0
65.864.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1683
#65
44.32.3
56.954.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
353
#14
31.71.0
32.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End