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Red201
501232.3
102381.5
21766.8
Blue111
101129.0
17652.0
350437.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164124050100200250300350400201111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.52.2
81.383.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.6
176
#70
52.00.9
56.155.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
217
#29
66.82.2
52.955.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.0
3504
#61
37.80.9
41.840.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5012
#41
32.32.2
23.625.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1011
#96
29.00.9
32.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End