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Red132
393764.9
30347.9
471933.9
Blue170
35331.7
331059.8
97353.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14815350100200250132170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#64
64.90.8
69.068.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
3310
#71
59.80.9
64.365.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
303
#50
47.90.8
45.044.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
973
#31
53.50.9
56.857.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4719
#35
33.90.8
34.533.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
353
#14
31.70.9
31.031.9
Auto
Teleop
End