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Red167
266530.6
19375.9
4557.5
Blue186
428838.2
212272.1
496531.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1831070300400167186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#48
75.90.2
72.171.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2122
#13
72.13.4
64.668.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
45
#33
57.50.2
61.761.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.3
4288
#75
38.23.4
32.636.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2665
#79
30.60.2
37.737.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4965
#56
31.43.4
21.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End