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Red131
300841.7
330956.5
85747.8
Blue156
309869.0
173066.5
95562.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115213050150250300350400131156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#26
56.50.0
59.959.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
3098
#10
69.02.1
68.466.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
857
#52
47.80.0
45.845.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.7
66.52.1
68.966.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3008
#62
41.70.0
24.524.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.5
955
#36
62.22.1
60.558.4
Auto
Teleop
End