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Red62
498523.1
501232.3
297446.5
Blue152
494532.0
12663.2
514524.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510505015020025062152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#82
46.51.7
51.249.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.7
126
#12
63.22.4
58.861.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5012
#41
32.31.7
25.824.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4945
#25
32.02.4
25.227.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4985
#81
23.11.7
19.417.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
5145
#86
24.02.4
19.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End