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Red138
205265.0
494532.0
447656.0
Blue120
300841.7
133451.1
102381.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135172050100200250300350138120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.00.1
59.559.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
81.52.3
80.678.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4476
#66
56.00.1
58.858.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
1334
#57
51.12.3
63.361.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4945
#25
32.00.1
22.522.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
3008
#62
41.72.3
22.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End