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Red180
102381.5
499125.3
161043.8
Blue177
310332.5
88426.0
121868.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151117050200250300350400180177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.51.7
83.485.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
1218
#54
68.62.7
67.870.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1610
#22
43.81.7
38.940.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
3103
#88
32.52.7
30.233.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4991
#43
25.31.7
23.525.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
884
#63
26.02.7
24.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End