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Red214
498523.1
95562.2
55868.7
Blue127
133451.1
126643.1
497919.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153108050200250300350400214127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#15
68.73.4
69.573.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.7
1334
#57
51.10.6
54.054.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
#36
62.23.4
58.461.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.1
1266
#69
43.10.6
41.842.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4985
#81
23.13.4
17.721.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
4979
#94
19.80.6
19.319.9
Auto
Teleop
End