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Red251
14895.0
83684.2
417617.2
Blue101
188550.0
425657.8
266530.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206137050100250300350400251101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#19
95.02.8
96.198.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 37.2
4256
#51
57.82.3
53.651.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
#7
84.22.8
82.985.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
1885
#67
50.02.3
56.954.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4176
#42
17.22.8
16.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
2665
#79
30.62.3
37.535.1
Auto
Teleop
End