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Red212
131872.1
448875.4
115355.2
Blue133
18870.1
131054.7
173066.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2171920100300400212133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
75.40.0
79.279.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
188
#28
70.11.0
71.270.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#18
72.10.0
74.874.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
66.51.0
68.167.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
55.20.0
58.958.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1310
#17
54.71.0
56.355.2
Auto
Teleop
End