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Red171
131872.1
448875.4
115355.2
Blue190
131054.7
49468.9
173066.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2181870100300400171190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
75.40.7
79.278.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
494
#20
68.90.0
69.469.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#18
72.10.7
74.774.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
66.50.0
67.067.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
55.20.7
58.958.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1310
#17
54.70.0
55.255.2
Auto
Teleop
End