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Red221
131872.1
448875.4
115355.2
Blue162
131054.7
49468.9
173066.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2151870100300400221162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
75.40.2
78.578.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
494
#20
68.90.5
69.368.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1318
#18
72.10.2
74.174.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
66.50.5
67.066.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
55.20.2
58.258.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1310
#17
54.70.5
55.254.7
Auto
Teleop
End