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Red27
377032.2
2137B18.4
525717.9
Blue44
5053B14.5
505320.7
523129.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875801001502002744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
Unranked
32.22.8
33.931.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
5231
Unranked
29.80.9
32.831.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2137B
Unranked
18.44.6
26.421.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
5053
Unranked
20.70.9
21.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5257
Unranked
17.92.8
22.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
5053B
Unranked
14.51.6
8.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End