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Red18
519321.9
505320.7
Blue53
523129.8
504628.2
525717.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions568401001502002501853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5193
Unranked
21.92.1
25.623.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
5231
Unranked
29.81.4
31.930.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5053
Unranked
20.72.1
20.218.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.5
5046
Unranked
28.21.4
29.628.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5046B
Unranked
6.13.5
14.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
5257
Unranked
17.91.4
18.717.3
Auto
Teleop
End