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Red54
522424.4
525717.9
523129.8
Blue108
481946.3
504628.2
46825.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689105015020025054108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5231
Unranked
29.80.9
30.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.5
4819
Unranked
46.31.0
39.740.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5224
Unranked
24.40.9
24.123.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
5046
Unranked
28.21.0
26.827.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5257
Unranked
17.90.9
17.316.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
468
Unranked
25.41.0
20.821.8
Auto
Teleop
End