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Red103
283240.0
213758.0
Blue119
481946.3
523129.8
522927.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10595050150200103119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
Unranked
58.00.0
57.857.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
4819
Unranked
46.30.4
44.144.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2832
Unranked
40.00.0
39.839.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
5231
Unranked
29.80.4
27.628.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5046B
Unranked
6.10.0
5.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.0
5229
Unranked
27.10.4
24.925.3
Auto
Teleop
End