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Red206
36878.6
359105.6
244419.0
Blue85
244361.8
234825.4
209048.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214129010030040020685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
105.60.1
104.8104.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 43.8
61.81.0
64.063.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
#1
78.60.1
77.978.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 30.2
2090
#12
48.41.0
50.649.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#15
19.00.1
18.318.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2348
#27
25.41.0
27.726.7
Auto
Teleop
End