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Quarterfinal 3-32014 Hawaii Regional
Red120
372122.6
415854.1
1157.7
Blue163
285328.6
388032.9
388142.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14297050200250300120163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
57.70.3
57.9→57.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.0
3881
#11
42.61.0
42.6→43.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4158
#2
54.10.3
54.3→54.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.2
3880
#18
32.91.0
32.8→33.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3721
#30
22.60.3
22.8→22.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.0
2853
#10
28.61.0
28.6→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—