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Red125
38003.9
243953.5
388240.6
Blue70
52778.9
372122.6
425350.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9041015020025012570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.52.1
50.152.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
50.71.8
29.030.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3882
#16
40.63.6
22.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.1
3721
#30
22.61.8
8.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3800
#32
3.93.6
9.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
5277
#37
8.91.8
10.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End