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Qual 292014 Hawaii Regional
Red95
244531.4
452921.3
52778.9
Blue132
137839.3
245319.3
244361.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4597015020095132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2445
#23
31.43.5
26.5→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 30.4
2443
#5
61.82.2
51.5→53.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4529
#24
21.33.5
14.7→18.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.0
1378
#20
39.33.6
21.0→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5277
#37
8.93.5
11.7→15.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.4
2453
#26
19.33.6
16.1→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—