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Red28
388032.9
481713.0
477420.3
Blue171
244361.8
38003.9
36878.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44127010015020025028171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3880
#18
32.92.4
25.523.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 45.7
368
#1
78.64.8
51.356.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4774
#14
20.32.4
17.415.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.4
61.82.9
53.756.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4817
#31
13.02.4
13.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
3800
#32
3.94.8
8.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End