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Qual 412014 Hawaii Regional
Red115
244361.8
52778.9
243732.3
Blue76
388142.6
209048.4
250420.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103107608012014016018020011576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#5
61.80.5
56.5→57.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.4
2090
#12
48.42.4
49.7→47.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2437
#13
32.30.5
32.6→33.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.4
3881
#11
42.61.4
36.0→34.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5277
#37
8.90.9
15.5→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.9
2504
#19
20.72.4
19.0→16.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—