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Red16
530611.3
477420.3
387811.9
Blue130
481713.0
244531.4
388142.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179005010015020016130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#14
20.30.9
18.117.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.3
3881
#11
42.62.6
35.337.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3878
#29
11.90.9
4.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.5
2445
#23
31.43.7
33.337.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5306
#38
11.30.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4817
#31
13.03.7
10.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End