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Red32
388240.6
289624.2
24598.5
Blue64
452921.3
529716.8
243953.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69880501001502003264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#16
40.62.9
44.641.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.9
53.51.1
50.449.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2896
#17
24.22.9
18.415.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
4529
#24
21.31.5
18.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2459
#33
8.52.9
8.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.3
5297
#25
16.81.5
16.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End