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Qual 612014 Hawaii Regional
Red147
137839.3
529716.8
289624.2
Blue78
530611.3
388032.9
372122.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6458010015020025030014778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1378
#20
39.35.6
32.2→37.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.4
3880
#18
32.91.3
27.6→28.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2896
#17
24.25.6
15.5→21.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.6
3721
#30
22.61.3
26.9→28.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5297
#25
16.85.6
15.1→20.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.5
5306
#38
11.31.3
4.7→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—