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Qual 632014 Hawaii Regional
Red48
481713.0
52778.9
388240.6
Blue73
285328.6
300822.6
234825.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676740506080901004873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#16
40.61.2
41.7→40.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.0
2853
#10
28.60.4
19.3→19.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4817
#31
13.01.2
14.0→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.4
2348
#27
25.40.4
26.2→26.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5277
#37
8.91.2
11.0→9.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.8
3008
#22
22.60.3
21.3→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—