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Red220
415854.1
243953.5
388142.6
Blue22
209048.4
24652.0
244531.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458705020025030022022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.15.6
48.854.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2090
#12
48.44.9
52.147.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
53.54.2
49.353.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.1
2445
#23
31.44.9
37.032.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3881
#11
42.64.2
37.942.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.7
2465
#36
2.04.9
7.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End