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Red116
245319.3
1157.7
452921.3
Blue126
243835.0
530611.3
300822.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102480150200116126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#3
57.71.1
55.957.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.6
2438
#21
35.04.2
29.333.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4529
#24
21.31.4
17.118.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3008
#22
22.63.5
21.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2453
#26
19.31.4
20.722.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
5306
#38
11.34.2
5.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End