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Red52
36859.6
313254.3
372122.6
Blue90
24598.5
481713.0
209048.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035901502002505290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.32.5
58.155.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
2090
#12
48.41.3
47.448.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3721
#30
22.62.5
26.323.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
4817
#31
13.01.3
11.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3685
#28
9.62.5
12.09.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2459
#33
8.51.3
7.28.5
Auto
Teleop
End