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Qual 82014 Hawaii Regional
Red10
38003.9
452921.3
372122.6
Blue57
250420.7
243953.5
387811.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions429301502002501057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3721
#30
22.63.3
15.8→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 31.0
2439
#7
53.51.4
51.5→50.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4529
#24
21.33.3
21.2→17.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2504
#19
20.72.4
17.7→15.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3800
#32
3.93.3
13.1→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.0
3878
#29
11.92.4
16.1→13.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—