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Red232
244419.0
359105.6
36878.6
Blue112
250420.7
243953.5
244531.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22184050150200250300350400232112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
105.60.5
104.3104.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 52.0
53.50.1
53.453.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
#1
78.60.5
77.377.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 47.2
2445
#23
31.40.1
31.331.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2444
#15
19.00.5
17.718.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2504
#19
20.70.1
20.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End