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Red326
512538.9
1625100.4
245180.7
Blue175
393620.4
173273.8
233875.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22415950100200250300350400450326175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.41.9
98.6100.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
75.70.1
75.675.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
80.71.9
78.880.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
73.80.1
73.773.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5125
#18
38.92.1
36.938.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
3936
#33
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto
Teleop
End