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Red117
206254.2
178125.6
219712.6
Blue180
7174.6
535021.6
424126.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90114050150200250300350117180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#20
54.21.2
56.057.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
71
#35
74.63.5
72.075.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
#25
25.61.2
26.227.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
26.23.9
20.824.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#43
12.61.2
11.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
5350
#26
21.63.9
17.721.6
Auto
Teleop
End