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Red80
283019.4
467639.1
364639.4
Blue57
10114.9
512538.9
306734.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397501001502002508057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3646
#13
39.43.0
16.319.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
5125
#18
38.91.0
25.924.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4676
#14
39.13.0
11.714.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3067
#11
34.90.6
28.427.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2830
#23
19.42.0
16.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
101
#40
14.91.0
14.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End