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Qual 152014 Midwest Regional
Red57
470216.7
278119.9
206254.2
Blue83
497918.4
11144.9
173915.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90780501502005783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#20
54.21.7
39.0→37.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.3
111
#17
44.90.2
47.0→47.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2781
#30
19.92.6
26.9→24.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.5
4979
#29
18.40.2
12.4→12.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4702
#50
16.72.6
22.0→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.8
1739
#28
15.90.1
20.7→20.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—