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Red107
245180.7
219712.6
173915.9
Blue83
313515.6
239920.7
364639.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions853205010015020010783

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.5
41.142.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.3
3646
#13
39.43.6
12.716.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1739
#28
15.91.5
19.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
2399
#21
20.72.4
9.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#43
12.61.5
16.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
3135
#38
15.62.6
18.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End