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Red135
178125.6
233875.7
313515.6
Blue41
497212.0
306734.9
278119.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11056015020025030013541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.71.7
54.656.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.8
3067
#11
34.91.1
27.826.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
#25
25.61.7
26.428.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
2781
#30
19.91.9
24.322.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3135
#38
15.61.7
20.722.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
4972
#45
12.01.9
11.89.9
Auto
Teleop
End