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Red38
173915.9
178125.6
306734.9
Blue125
1625100.4
211526.6
430212.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58125010015020025030038125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#11
34.91.5
26.725.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 65.6
100.40.5
79.379.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1781
#25
25.61.5
26.825.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2115
#41
26.60.8
19.820.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1739
#28
15.91.5
15.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
4302
#42
12.40.8
15.916.8
Auto
Teleop
End