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Qual 62014 Midwest Regional
Red102
478710.9
167552.8
535021.6
Blue93
64829.4
369523.8
311028.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7255010015020010293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#8
52.82.0
43.6→45.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.4
648
#36
29.41.8
28.9→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
5350
#26
21.64.9
21.6→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
3110
#47
28.23.0
11.8→14.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4787
#46
10.92.7
11.6→14.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.9
3695
#34
23.83.0
16.4→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—