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Qual 612014 Midwest Regional
Red186
245180.7
364639.4
317720.4
Blue85
7174.6
470216.7
419127.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions939805015020018685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#1
80.74.6
59.9→64.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.1
71
#35
74.60.6
64.2→63.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3646
#13
39.47.7
16.0→23.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.4
4191
#31
27.01.0
19.0→18.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3177
#51
20.47.7
18.1→25.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.7
4702
#50
16.71.0
13.7→12.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—