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Qual 682014 Midwest Regional
Red76
467639.1
455126.2
306734.9
Blue48
335232.8
239920.7
219712.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions865201001502007648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4676
#14
39.10.4
20.4→20.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
3352
#12
32.80.4
26.3→25.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3067
#11
34.90.2
30.9→30.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.1
2399
#21
20.70.5
20.4→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4551
#27
26.20.4
29.5→29.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.6
2197
#43
12.60.4
10.3→9.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—