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Qual 722014 Midwest Regional
Red137
173273.8
470216.7
10114.9
Blue88
239920.7
430212.4
233875.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910805015020013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#5
73.82.3
64.1→66.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
2338
#3
75.70.9
70.0→69.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4702
#50
16.73.3
11.8→15.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.1
2399
#21
20.70.9
20.0→19.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
101
#40
14.93.3
16.0→19.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
4302
#42
12.41.4
15.5→14.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—