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Red116
178125.6
512538.9
11144.9
Blue38
173915.9
393620.4
202228.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10458015020025030011638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#17
44.91.0
45.446.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
2022
#15
28.31.4
31.930.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5125
#18
38.91.4
28.129.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.5
3936
#33
20.41.4
19.117.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1781
#25
25.61.0
23.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
1739
#28
15.91.4
14.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End