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Qual 952014 Midwest Regional
Red165
311028.2
419127.0
211526.6
Blue166
173915.9
270440.8
467639.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59870150200250300165166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3110
#47
28.26.2
23.4→29.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.6
2704
#10
40.84.2
32.7→36.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4191
#31
27.06.8
20.9→27.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.1
4676
#14
39.15.1
37.1→42.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2115
#41
26.66.2
18.9→25.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 10.7
1739
#28
15.94.2
13.2→17.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—