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Qual 982014 Midwest Regional
Red141
430212.4
173273.8
278119.9
Blue137
213613.5
470216.7
167552.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10466050150200250141137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#5
73.82.2
70.5→72.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.0
1675
#8
52.83.3
50.7→54.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2781
#30
19.92.4
17.5→19.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.2
4702
#50
16.73.6
13.1→16.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4302
#42
12.42.6
9.8→12.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.1
2136
#49
13.54.0
7.9→11.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—