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Red245
245180.7
512538.9
1625100.4
Blue92
369523.8
69547.1
206254.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223114020030040024592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.40.6
96.096.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 46.3
2062
#20
54.20.6
56.155.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
80.70.6
76.376.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 33.6
695
#6
47.10.6
49.148.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5125
#18
38.90.7
34.034.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
3695
#34
23.80.6
25.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End