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Qual 152014 Central Illinois Regional
Red88
432917.3
421234.0
175655.4
Blue86
208140.6
465519.2
433024.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109840501502002503003504008886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#5
55.41.4
53.8→52.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 14.9
2081
#8
40.60.2
40.8→40.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4212
#18
34.01.4
28.6→27.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.7
4330
#36
24.30.2
24.0→23.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4329
#39
17.31.4
22.7→21.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.8
4655
#35
19.20.2
23.5→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—