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Red155
425646.8
204025.1
64828.9
Blue275
52568.7
175655.4
208140.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631070200300400500155275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#14
46.87.1
27.935.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.0
525
#1
68.714.5
38.953.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
648
#31
28.97.1
22.629.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.5
55.414.5
34.849.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2040
#32
25.17.1
19.126.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.5
40.614.5
26.741.3
Auto
Teleop
End