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Qual 282014 Central Illinois Regional
Red118
328437.2
174747.7
313836.2
Blue51
432917.3
176426.5
433024.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11353010015020025030011851

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#6
47.71.2
28.8→30.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.2
1764
#22
26.51.0
26.0→25.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3284
#25
37.21.2
34.9→36.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 12.9
4330
#36
24.31.0
20.0→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3138
#19
36.21.2
40.2→41.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.9
4329
#39
17.31.0
16.8→15.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—